Week 4 NFL Straight Up / Spread Picks

By Masterballer 10/03/2009

FFBaller.com


We are 32-16 against the spread and 30-18 straight up for the season.

Chicago (-10) over Detroit
The Lions beat a very bad Redskins team at home for their first victory since the 2007 season.  Meanwhile the Bears look like they’ve found their franchise QB in Cutler and face their weakest opponents of the season in the Lions.  With Kevin Smith a game time decision, the home team should win this one easily.  Chicago 34-14

Indianapolis (-10.5) over Seattle
The Seahawks will probably not have Hasselbeck under center again and will have trouble keeping up with the high powered Colts offense.  Peyton Manning has been sensational in his last two games and will prove too much for Seattle to handle.  Colts 30-17

Cincinnati (-5.5) over Cleveland
The Bengals will use Benson to control the game which will allow Palmer to have his best game of the year.  The last time these two teams met at the Dawg pound, the Browns were shutout.  Bengals 24-7

New York Giants (-8.5) over Kansas City
The Giants own the top rated pass defense and should make easy work of Matt Cassel.  With Dwayne Bowe likely out or at best hobbled, this could be a repeat of the Giants game with the Bucs.  Giants 27-7

Baltimore (+2) over New England
You can’t run on the Ravens but you can pass.  Brady will have some success but the Ravens offense has finally arrived and the Pats won’t be able to outscore Baltimore.  Ravens 30-21

Tennessee (-3) over Jacksonville
The 0-3 Titans will be a little more desperate than the 1-2 Jaguars.  The strength of the Jaguars, Maurice Jones-Drew, goes up against the second ranked run defense of the Titans.  Tennessee won both times when these teams met last year and this game won’t be any different.  Titans 17-10

Tampa Bay (+7) over Washington
The Bucs aren’t as bad as the Giants made them out to be.  It just happens that the Giants are a very good team.  The Skins aren’t nearly as good as the Giants and are lucky they’ve actually won a game.  Both teams are desperate but I’ll give the edge to the home team in a close game.  Redskins 24-20

Miami (+2.5) over Buffalo
Miami has played better than their record indicates with their opponents combining for a 7-2 record.  They won both games against the Bills last year and a desperate Dolphins team should make it three in a row.  Dolphins 17-10

San Francisco (-9.5) over St. Louis
The Niners would be 3-0 except for a last second Favre heave into the end zone.   They owned the 4th ranked rushing defense and should shut down the Rams’ only weapon, Steven Jackson.  49ers  27-10

Oakland (+9) over Houston
Houston’s defense is horrific which will keep this game close since the Raiders need all the help they can get scoring.  Each team will exploit the other’s weak rush defense which will keep their respective QBs from making costly mistakes.  In the end, the Texans have a little more firepower than Oakland.  Texans 28-20

New Orleans (-7) over New York Jets
The Saints will be the best offense the Jets have seen this season.   While the Jets’ defense has been outstanding, the Saints can score in too many ways proving in Philly they can even dominate the best defenses.  It might be a closer game if it were later in the season and played in New York ( NJ really) but the Saints will take this one at home.  Saints 28-17
Dallas (-3) over Denver

Denver remains a mystery going undefeated in the first three weeks but between miracle tosses and weak opponents it’s hard to get a gauge on them.  Romo continues his uneven play for Dallas so if the Denver defense is for real he’s going to have a tough afternoon.  Denver has only played against a good QB once this year and that was a rusty Palmer in week one.  He still managed to throw for 247 yards so Denver’s run may be ending now that the easy games are over.  Cowboys 28-24

San Diego (+6.5) over Pittsburgh
The Steelers will look to exploit the Chargers’ weak run defense and keep Rivers off the field.  Rivers should get enough time with the Steelers having problems getting to the QB.  It’ll be close but I like the desperate team at home.  Steelers 21-20

Green Bay (+3.5) over Minnesota
This should be a tight game between division rivals.  The Packers won’t be able to stop AP but they always seem to be able to hang with the Vikes.  Packers 20-17

 

read more at BleacherCreatureRotoTalk.com Fantasy Football

Advertisement

2 Responses to Week 4 NFL Straight Up / Spread Picks

  1. peoplespigskin says:

    I’d be nervous about the Indy and San Francisco spreads. The Colts defense is vulnerable to a straight-ahead run attack, and the Niners are starting a rookie running back who may have a nasty case of fumbleitis.

    Paul
    peoplespigskin.wordpress.com

  2. We’ll have to see….I dont have much confidence in Mr Seneca Wallace and Singeltary will kill his rookie rb if drops the ball!

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.